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memoryless random variable (Definition)

A non-negative-valued random variable $X$ is memoryless if $P(X>s+t\mid X>s)=P(X>t)$ for $s,t\ge0$ .

In words, given that a certain event did not occur during time period $s$ in the past, the chance that an event will occur after an additional time period $t$ in the future is the same as the chance that the event would occur after a time period $t$ from the beginning, regardless of how long or how short the time period $s$ is; the memory is erased.

From the definition, we see that $$P(X>t)=P(X>s+t\mid X>s)=\frac{P(X>s+t\mbox{ and }X>s)}{P(X>s)}=\frac{P(X>s+t)}{P(X>s)},$$ so $P(X>s+t)=P(X>s)P(X>t)$ iff $X$ is memoryless.

An example of a discrete memoryless random variable is the geometric random variable, since $P(X>s+t)=(1-p)^{s+t}=(1-p)^s(1-p)^t=P(X>s)P(X>t)$ , where $p$ is the probability of $X$ =success. The exponential random variable is an example of a continuous memoryless random variable, which can be proved similarly with $1-p$ replaced by $e^{-\lambda}$ . In fact, the exponential random variable is the only continuous random variable having the memoryless property.




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See Also: Markov chain

Keywords:  memoryless, lack of memory
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Cross-references: property, continuous random variable, continuous, exponential random variable, geometric random variable, discrete, iff, period, event, random variable

This is version 5 of memoryless random variable, born on 2004-09-30, modified 2006-11-14.
Object id is 6261, canonical name is MemorylessRandomVariable.
Accessed 4005 times total.

Classification:
AMS MSC60G07 (Probability theory and stochastic processes :: Stochastic processes :: General theory of processes)
 60K05 (Probability theory and stochastic processes :: Special processes :: Renewal theory)

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