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Viewing Version 1 of 'Markov chain'
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Title of object: Markov chain
Canonical Name: MarkovChain
Type: Definition

Created on: 2002-04-29 23:52:22
Modified on: 2002-04-29 23:52:22

Creator: Mathprof
Modifier: Mathprof
Author: drummond

Classification: msc:60J10
Keywords: random process
Defines: Markov chain, transition matrix

Revision comment (for changes between this and next version):

Changes for correction #11180 ('Define t_ij').

Preamble:

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Content:

\paragraph{Definition}
We begin with a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$. Let $I$ be a countable set, $(X_n: n \in \integers)$ be a collection of random variables taking values in $I$, $\mv{T} = (t_{ij}: i,j \in I)$ be a stochastic matrix, and $\mv{\lambda}$ be a distribution. We call $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ a \emph{Markov chain} with initial distribution $\mv{\lambda}$ and \emph{transition matrix} $\mv{T}$ if:

\begin{enumerate}
\item{$X_0$ has distribution $\mv{\lambda}$.}
\item{For $n \ge 0$, $\mathbb{P}(X_{n+1}=i_{n+1} | X_0 = i_0, \ldots, X_n = i_n) = t_{i_n i_{n+1}}$.}
\end{enumerate}

That is, the next value of the chain depends only on the current value, not any previous values. This is often summed up in the pithy phrase, ``Markov chains have no memory.''

\paragraph{Discussion}
Markov chains are arguably the simplest examples of random processes. They come in discrete and continuous versions; the discrete version is presented above.