PlanetMath (more info)
 Math for the people, by the people. Sponsor PlanetMath
Encyclopedia | Requests | Forums | Docs | Wiki | Random | RSS  
Login
create new user
name:
pass:
forget your password?
Main Menu
Owner confidence rating: High Entry average rating: No information on entry rating
expected value (Definition)

Let us first consider a discrete random variable $X$ with values in $\mathbb{R}$ . Then $X$ has values in an at most countable set $\mathcal{X}$ . For $x\in\mathcal{X}$ denote the probability that $X=x$ by $P_x$ . If $$\sum_{x\in\mathcal{X}}|x|P_x$$ converges, the sum $$\sum_{x\in\mathcal{X}}xP_x$$ is well-defined. Its value is called the expected value, expectation or mean of $X$ . It is usually denoted by $E(X)$ .

Taking this idea further, we can easily generalize to a continuous random variable $X$ with probability density $\varrho$ by setting $$E(X)=\int_{-\infty}^\infty x\varrho(x)dx,$$ if this integral exists.

From the above definition it is clear that the expectation is a linear function, i.e. for two random variables $X, Y$ we have $$E(aX+bY)=aE(X)+bE(Y)$$ for $a,b\in\mathbb{R}$ .

Note that the expectation does not always exist (if the corresponding sum or integral does not converge, the expectation does not exist. One example of this situation is the Cauchy random variable).

Using the measure theoretical formulation of stochastics, we can give a more formal definition. Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{A}, P)$ be a probability space and $X:\Omega\to\mathbb{R}$ a random variable. We now define $$E(X)=\int_{\Omega} XdP,$$ where the integral is understood as the Lebesgue-integral with respect to the measure $P$ .




"expected value" is owned by mathwizard. [ full author list (2) | owner history (1) ]
(view preamble | get metadata)

View style:

See Also: average value of function

Other names:  mean, expectation value, expectation

Attachments:
properties of expected value (Theorem) by Andrea Ambrosio
Log in to rate this entry.
(view current ratings)

Cross-references: probability space, measure, Cauchy random variable, random variables, function, clear, integral, density, continuous random variable, well-defined, sum, converges, countable, discrete random variable
There are 75 references to this entry.

This is version 16 of expected value, born on 2001-10-26, modified 2006-10-30.
Object id is 505, canonical name is ExpectedValue.
Accessed 59572 times total.

Classification:
AMS MSC60-00 (Probability theory and stochastic processes :: General reference works )

Pending Errata and Addenda
None.
[ View all 12 ]
Discussion
Style: Expand: Order:
forum policy

No messages.

Interact
post | correct | update request | add derivation | add example | add (any)