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overdispersion (Definition)

When applying the generalized linear model or GLM to the real world, a phenomenon called overdispersion occurs when the observed variance of the data is larger than the predicted variance. This is particularly apparent in the case of a Poisson regression model, where

predicted variance = predicted mean,
or the binary logistic regression model, where
predicted variance = predicted mean(1- predicted mean).
A parameter, called the dispersion parameter, $ \phi$, is introducted to the model to lower this overdispersion effect.

The GLM, with the inclusion of this dispersion parameter, has the following density function:

$\displaystyle f_{Y_i}(y_i\mid\theta_i)=\operatorname{exp}[\frac{y\theta_i-b(\theta_i)}{a(\phi)}+c(y,\phi)]$

Dispersion parameters for some of the well known distributions from the exponential family are listed in the following table:

distribution notation dispersion parameter $ \phi$
Normal $ N(\mu,\sigma^2)$ $ \sigma^2$
Poisson $ Poisson(\mu)$ 1
Binomial $ Bin(m,\pi)$ $ \displaystyle{\frac{1}{m}}$
Gamma $ Gamma(\alpha,\lambda)$ $ \displaystyle{\frac{1}{\alpha}}$

Bibliography

1
J. M. Hilbe, Negative Binomial Regression, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007).
2
A. Agresti, An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis, Wiley & Sons, New York (1996).
3
P. McCullagh and J. A. Nelder, Generalized Linear Models, Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2nd ed., London (1989).
4
A. J. Dobson, An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models, Chapman & Hall, 2nd ed. (2001).



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Also defines:  dispersion parameter
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Cross-references: exponential family, distributions, density function, inclusion, parameter, logistic regression, binary, mean, regression model, variance, real, generalized linear model
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This is version 7 of overdispersion, born on 2004-07-29, modified 2008-03-07.
Object id is 6047, canonical name is Overdispersion.
Accessed 9479 times total.

Classification:
AMS MSC62J12 (Statistics :: Linear inference, regression :: Generalized linear models)

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