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mean square error
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(Definition)
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The mean square error of an estimator $\hat{\theta}$ of a parameter $\theta$ in a statistical model is defined as: $$\operatorname{MSE}(\hat{\theta})\colon=\operatorname{E}\big[(\hat{\theta}-\theta)^2\big].$$
From the definition of the variance $\operatorname{Var}[X]=\operatorname{E}[X^2]-\operatorname{E}[X]^2$ , we can express the mean square error in terms of the bias by expanding the right hand side above: $$\operatorname{MSE}(\hat{\theta})=\operatorname{Var}\big[\hat{\theta}\big]+ \operatorname{Bias}(\hat{\theta})^2.$$
If $\hat{\theta}$ is an unbiased estimator, then its mean square error is identical to its variance: $\operatorname{MSE}(\hat{\theta})=\operatorname{Var}[\hat{\theta}]$ . An unbiased estimator such that $\operatorname{MSE}(\hat{\theta})$ is a minimum value among all unbiased estimators for $\theta$ is called a minimum variance unbiased estimator, abbreviated MVUE, or uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator, abbreviated UMVU estimator.
Example. Suppose $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ are iid random variables ($n$ independent measurements of the radius of a coin, etc...) from a normal distribution $N(\mu,\sigma^2)$ (for example, $\mu$ would be the true radius of the coin, and $\sigma^2$ would be the error component of the measurements). Suppose $\overline{X}$ ($=\overline{X}_n$ ) is the sample mean. Then $\overline{X}$ is an unbiased estimator, so that $$\operatorname{MSE}(\overline{X})=\operatorname{Var}\left[\overline{X}\right]= \operatorname{Var}\left[\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n X_i\right]=\frac{1}{n^2}\left(\sum_{i=1}^n \sigma^2\right)=\frac{\sigma^2}{n}.$$
Remark. The square root of MSE is called the ``root mean square error'', or rms error for short.
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"mean square error" is owned by CWoo. [ full author list (2) | owner history (1) ]
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See Also: mean square deviation
| Other names: |
MSE, MVUE, UMVU, UMVUE, uniformly minimum variance unbiased |
| Also defines: |
minimum variance unbiased estimator, rms error, root-mean-square, root mean square, rms |
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Cross-references: square root, sample mean, component, normal distribution, radius, independent, random variables, iid, unbiased estimator, right hand side, bias, terms, variance, statistical model, parameter, estimator
There are 4 references to this entry.
This is version 7 of mean square error, born on 2002-01-05, modified 2006-09-23.
Object id is 1289, canonical name is RmsError.
Accessed 73293 times total.
Classification:
| AMS MSC: | 94A12 (Information and communication, circuits :: Communication, information :: Signal theory ) | | | 62J10 (Statistics :: Linear inference, regression :: Analysis of variance and covariance) |
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Pending Errata and Addenda
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