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stopping time
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(Definition)
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Let
be a stochastic process adopted to the filtration
of sub- -fields
of
. A random variable whose values lie in
is a stopping time for the filtration
if the event
for every finite .
Remarks
- Stopping time is often used in gambling, when a gambler stops the betting process when he reaches a certain goal. The time it takes to reach this goal is generally not a deterministic one. Rather, it is a random variable depending on the current result of the bet, as well as the combined information from all previous bets.
- The
-field at time , or
, intuitively, is just a collection of events, or, “information” on all possible outcomes that are available up to, and including, the th bet.
- The inclusion of
in the range of is to add a case where there is no stopping time; the process continues into infinity.
- The stopping time
can be alternatively characterized as a non-negative integer-valued random variable, such that the event
it is independent of
.
Examples. A gambler has $1,000 and plays the slot machine at $1 per play.
- The gambler stops playing when his capital is depleted. The number
of plays that it takes the gambler to stop is a stopping time.
- The gambler stops playing when his capital reaches $2,000. The number
of plays that it takes the gambler to stop is a stopping time.
- The gambler stops playing when his capital either reaches $2,000, or is depleted, which ever comes first. The number
of plays that it takes the gambler to stop is a stopping time.
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"stopping time" is owned by CWoo.
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(view preamble)
Cross-references: machine, independent, infinity, range, inclusion, outcomes, collection, information, current, finite, event, random variable, filtration, stochastic process
There are 3 references to this entry.
This is version 3 of stopping time, born on 2004-10-04, modified 2005-02-28.
Object id is 6294, canonical name is StoppingTime.
Accessed 6705 times total.
Classification:
| AMS MSC: | 60G40 (Probability theory and stochastic processes :: Stochastic processes :: Stopping times; optimal stopping problems; gambling theory) | | | 60K05 (Probability theory and stochastic processes :: Special processes :: Renewal theory) |
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Pending Errata and Addenda
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