conditional expectation
Let be a probability space and a real random variable with .
Conditional Expectation Given an Event
Given an event such that , then we define the conditional expectation of given , denoted by to be
When , is sometimes defaulted to .
If is discrete, then we can write , where are the indicator functions, and , then conditional expectation of given becomes
where is the conditional probability of given .
Conditional Expectation Given a Sigma Algebra
If is a sub -algebra, then the conditional expectation of given , denoted by is defined as follows
Definition
is the function from to satisfying
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1.
is -measurable
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2.
, for all .
It can be shown, via Radon-Nikodym Theorem, that always exists and is unique almost everywhere: any two -measurable random variables with
differ by a null event in . We can in fact set up an equivalence relation on the set of all integrable -measurable functions satisfying condition 2 above. In this sense, is an equivalence class of random variables, and any two members in may qualify as conditional expectations of given (they are often called versions of the conditional expectation). In practice, however, we often think of as a function rather than a set of functions. As long as we realize that any two such functions are equal almost surely, we may blur such differences and abuse the language.
Suppose is another random variable with and let . Then
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1.
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2.
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3.
if is -measurable
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4.
if is independent (http://planetmath.org/IndependentSigmaAlgebras) of
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5.
if is -measurable
Conditional Expectation Given a Random Variable
Given any real random variable , we define the conditional expectation of given to be the conditional expectation of given , the sigma algebra generated by (http://planetmath.org/MathcalFMeasurableFunction).
Title | conditional expectation |
---|---|
Canonical name | ConditionalExpectation |
Date of creation | 2013-03-22 15:43:45 |
Last modified on | 2013-03-22 15:43:45 |
Owner | georgiosl (7242) |
Last modified by | georgiosl (7242) |
Numerical id | 13 |
Author | georgiosl (7242) |
Entry type | Definition |
Classification | msc 60-00 |
Classification | msc 60A10 |
Related topic | ConditionalProbability |
Related topic | ConditionalExpectationUnderChangeOfMeasure |
Related topic | ConditionalExpectationsAreUniformlyIntegrable |